One aspect of Sunday's game you won't see much of is the running game, and for good reason. The Colts will use Joseph Addai in short running situations. In most cases at the goal line, you'll see play action with Dallas Clark falling forward as if to block, then streaking along the back of the end zone for a wide open pass. In fact, if you see him at the bottom of your screen watch him, the Colts love this play and use it against the Titans nearly every trip inside the 5 yard line.
On the other side you have a trio of backs, Pierre Thomas, Reggie Bush (yes I'm counting Reggie Bush), and Mike Bell. And four if you want to count the spirit of Deuce McCallister. Thomas like Addai will not break a big run. He gets most of his production either on screen plays, or late in the game when the Saints are protecting a lead. By then defensives are playing on their heels from being burned by Brees' arm, and it's easy for Thomas to pick up 7-10 yards a carry.
It will be interesting to see either team try and balance their attack with running plays. Neither team is a run first team, which is part of the reason Vegas' over/under is at 50+.
I would have to give the advantage to the Saints in the run game, not only do they have a powerful back in Thomas, but they have a deep threat in Reggie Bush. Although Bush is not as good as he was advertised out of college, he often seems to be in the right place at the right time late in games. This could be the first Super Bowl where no running back has more than 10 carries.
Advantage: Saints run game
Wednesday, February 3, 2010
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When are you coming out with your prediction?
ReplyDeleteBy Saturday if not tomorrow. I'm back and forth everyday.
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